Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, January 4, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas:

South Indian Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 94S, which is located approximately 1270 NM east-southeast of of Diego Garcia.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts flaring convection over the center of the system. An ascat pass depicts an elongated circulation with weakly defined banding to the southeast of the llcc.

Environmental conditions are favorable with low vertical wind shear (5-10 knot), moderate radial outflow and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global deterministic and ensemble models are confident that the area of convection (94S) will continue to consolidate over the next 24 hours as the system tracks off towards the west.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 23 to 28 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.

>>> There’s a second area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 92S, which is located approximately 791 NM west-southwest of Diego Garcia.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery and a ssmis f16 composite depict a slowly consolidating, partially exposed llcc with flaring convection along the eastern periphery of the system.

Environmental conditions are moderately favorable for 92S with warm sea surface temperatures, low vertical wind shear (5-10 knots) and moderate poleward outflow aloft.

Ensemble models are in good agreement on an east-northeastward track over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is downgraded to low.