Current Snapshot
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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Monday, January 27, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas
Current Tropical Cyclones:
There are no Tropical Cyclones
Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones
The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.
Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones
The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.
Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas: There are no Tropical Cyclones
South Indian Ocean
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 93S, which is located approximately 342 NM south-southeast of Diego Garcia
Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery and a ssmis 91ghz satellite imagery depict an area of persistent deep convection to the southeast of a slowly consolidating low level circulation (llc) with fragmented, formative banding beginning to organize around the llc that has become more symmetric.
Environmental analysis reveals reveals that Invest 93S is in a favorable environment for further development with good equatorward outflow aloft, warm sea surface temperatures, offset by moderate to high (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear.
Global models are in good agreement that Invest 93S will generally drift westward over the next 36 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 28 to 33 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.
Southwest Pacific Ocean
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 96P, which is located approximately 58 NM north of Cairns, Australia
Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery shows a quickly consolidating and
deepening low pressure system embedded underneath flaring convection
along the eastern coast of Cape York, Australia, just north of Cairns.
Surface observations from low isles lighthouse are showing sustained wind speeds consistently over 25 knots for the past three hours with a observation of 29 knot winds gusting at 34 knots with a dropping sea level pressure.
The system is currently in a conducive environment for development moving forward with low (5-10 knots) easterly vertical wind shear, very warmvc) sea surface temperatures, and a moderate equatorward outflow channel aloft in a moisture-filled environment.
While deterministic model guidance on the system is limited, ensemble support is stronger and more concise with both gfs and ecmwf showing a southeastward track along the coastline over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 28 to 33 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is high.