Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, January 25, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no Tropical Cyclones

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas: There are no Tropical Cyclones

>>> An area of convection being referred to as Invest 92S, which is is located approximately 364 NM east-southeast of Beira, Mozambique

Animated  multi-spectral satellite imagery and a ssmis 91ghz satellite image depict an area of flaring convection, with a poorly organized low level circulation center.

Environmental analysis reveals that Invest 92S is in a moderately favorable environment for further development, with warm sea surface temperatures, weak poleward outflow aloft, and low vertical wind shear (10-15 knots).

Global models indicate that invest 92S will generally continue to track south-southeastward as the system continues to assemble over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 13 to 18 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

>>> There’s a second area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 93S, which is located approximately 464 NM southeast of Diego Garcia

Enhanced infrared satellite imagery and a ssmis 91ghz satellite image depict a broad area of flaring convection, with fragmented convection beginning to organize around the low level circulation center.

Environmental analysis reveals that invest 93S is in a favorable environment with warm sea surface temperatures, weak poleward outflow aloft, offset by a sharp gradient of high (20-25 knot) vertical
wind shear.

Global models are in good agreement that invest 93S will generally continue to track southwestward over the next 48 hours as the system continues to intensify.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 28 to 33 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.