Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, January 11, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone 07S (Dikeledi) is located approximately 370 NM north-northeast of Antananarivo, Madagascar

Tropical Cyclone 08P (Pita) is located approximately 70 NM southeast of Rarotonga – Final Warning

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas:

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 07S (Dikeledi)

According to the JTWC Warning number 5, sustained winds are 75 knots, with gusts to near 90 knots

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery (msi) depicts a dimple-like feature embedded within a deep convective mass obscuring the center of the tropical cyclone 07S. The dimpling feature indicating a formative eye highlights the intensification that has occurred over the last 12 hours. A synthetic aperture radar product reveals wind speeds in the southern and southwestern periphery between 75-77 knots.

TC 07S will continue to track westward passing over the northern tip of Madagascar over the next 12 hours. After passing back over water, the system will begin to round the curve of a str centered over southeastern Madagascar, causing the system to track through the Mozambique Channel. At 96 hours the system will track southeastward while remaining under the steering influence of the
str.

The system will continue to intensify until making landfall, which will disrupt intensification due to high shear and topographic interaction. High shear will continue to hinder intensification until 48 hours, and TC 07S will peak at an intensity of 80 knots by 80 hours.

Vertical wind shear will increase to 20 knots once again by 60 hours, due to an approaching upper level trough approaching from the southwest. As the upper-level trough continues east, the system will weaken. extratropical transition will commence by the end of the forecast period.

Southwest Pacific Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 08P (Pita) – Final Warning

According to the JTWC Warning number 4, sustained winds are 35 knots, with gusts to near 45 knots

Animated enhanced infrared (eir) satellite imagery depicts deep convection blown poleward and eastward of the shallow low-level circulation center (llcc). Clear skies lie to the southwest of tropical cyclone 08P, which is indicative of the dry air impinging on the circulation center.

TC 08P will continue to track east-southeastward for the remainder of the forecast period while driven by the deep-layer ridge to the northwest and enhanced by a deep-layer trough to the south. The nearby jet to the southwest will continue to induce subtropical transition as TC 08P becomes
further embedded within the jet maximum.

Dry air will continue to entrain into the system for the remainder of the forecast, leading to gradual weakening below 35 knots as subtropical transition completes.