Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, January 10, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone 07S (Dikeledi) is located approximately 445 NM north-northwest of Port Louis, Mauritius

Tropical Cyclone 08P (Pita) is located approximately 139 NM east-southeast of Niue

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The last regularly scheduled Tropical Cyclone Activity Report of the 2024 eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on May 15, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the NHC.

Central Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

The 2024 central North Pacific hurricane season has ended. As such, the final routine Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the 2024 season has been issued. Routine issuance of this section of the PDC product will resume on June 1, 2025. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant by the CPHC.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas:

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 07S (Dikeledi)

According to the JTWC Warning number 3, sustained winds are 55 knots, with gusts to near 70 knots

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery (msi) shows a medium-sized system with the low level circulation becoming partially exposed along the northern semi-circle. transverse banding and elongation are evident along the northern peripheries, an indication of elevated vertical wind shear.

Analysis indicates a favorable environment with warm sea surface temperatures and strong poleward outflow offset by moderate vertical wind shear.

TC Dikeledi will continue westward under the steering str up to 36 hours. Afterward, it will begin to round the western edge of the str and track southwestward then southward. The favorable environment will promote intensification to 65 knots by 24 hours; afterward, land interaction with the northern tip of Madagascar and reduced outflow will reduce it to 50 knots by 48 hours as it drifts into the Mozambique Channel.

After 48 hours, increasing poleward outflow and decreased vertical wind shear over the warm channel will re-intensify the cyclone to 65 knots by 120 hours.

Southwest Pacific Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 08P (Pita)

According to the JTWC Warning number 1, sustained winds are 40 knots, with gusts to near 50 knots

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather being referred to as Invest 97S, which is located approximately 499 NM northwest of Cocos Islands.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts a quickly consolidating llcc with deep persistent convection building over the center. Another image depicts low level clouds tightly wrapping into the system center.

Environmental analysis reveals favorable conditions for development with low vertical wind shear (10-15 knots), warm sea surface temperatures, and moderate radial outflow aloft.

Global ensembles are more aggressive overall while deterministic models show a small window of potential gale force intensity.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 23 to 38 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is downgraded to low.