Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Thursday, August 29, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Remnants of Tropical Cyclone 07E (Gilma)…is located about 185 miles east-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii – Last Advisory

Tropical Cyclone 01C (Hone)…is located about 990 miles west of Honolulu, Hawaii

Tropical Cyclone 11W (Shanshan)…is located approximately 50 NM southwest of Iwakuni, Japan

Tropical Cyclone 02A…is located approximately 110 NM southeast of Karachi, Pakistan

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones…nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central North Pacific: 

Remnants of Tropical Cyclone 07E (Gilma) – Last Advisory

GILMA DISSIPATES

According to the NHC Advisory number 48

The remnants are moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.

Tropical Cyclone 01C (Hone)

HONE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION…EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND RESTRENGTHEN THIS WEEKEND

According to the CPHC Advisory number 31

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A west-northwestward motion will continue through Friday. A turn toward the northwest is expected Friday night through the weekend. On the forecast track, Hone will pass south of Midway, Kure, and Pearl and Hermes Atolls this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some restrengthening is forecast over the weekend and Hone is expected to become a tropical storm again by Saturday.

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas:

Tropical Cyclone 11W (Shanshan)

According to the JTWC Warning number 35, sustained winds are 40 knots with gusts to near 50 knots

Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery and a composite radar loop show continued rapid erosion and unraveling of convective tops and feeder bands as the system tracks across Kyushu.

Analysis indicates a highly unfavorable environment due to interaction with the rugged terrain.

Tropical storm Shanshan will track more eastward along the edge of a shallower southwest extension of the steering ridge to the east, and mostly over land as it drags across the islands of Kyushu into Shikoku, and Honshu.

By 48 hours, a secondary ridge to the west will compete for steering and place the system in a quasi-stationary mode. The highly unfavorable
environment will eventually erode the system to dissipation by 72 hours, possibly sooner. However, there is also a possibility, as indicated by a few numerical track models, that the system will make a tight u-turn back into the pacific ocean and re-intensify.

Tropical Cyclone 02A

According to the JTWC Warning number 1, sustained winds are 35 knots with gusts to near 45 knots