Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, August 11, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone 06W (Maria)…is located approximately 87 NM south-southeast of Misawa, Japan

Northeast Pacific Ocean: There are no Tropical Cyclones

Central North Pacific: There are no Tropical Cyclones

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and adjacent Seas:

Tropical Cyclone 06W (Maria)

According to the JTWC Warning number 21, sustained winds are 45 knots with gusts to near 55 knots

Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts a consolidating system with tightly-curved banding wrapping into a well-defined low-level circulation center (llcc). Animated radar imagery reveals deep convective banding wrapping into a ragged eye feature, which has subsequently weakened. Another pass depicts 50-55 knot maximum winds within the inner eyewall.

Tropical storm 06W is tracking west-northwestward as the ridge continues to build to the north but is expected to track generally northwestward through 36 hours. TS 06W should weaken as it approaches the northeast coast of Honshu over the next 12 hours, with landfall expected near 12 hours.

However, the system has remained resilient and may possibly intensify slightly in the near-term. After making landfall, TS 06W will weaken rapidly over the Japan Alps with dissipation anticipated in the 36 to 48 hours time period when the system emerges over the Sea of Japan.

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather in the northwestern Pacific, being referred to Invest 91W, which is located approximately 508 NM east-southeast of Kadena AB.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 23 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather in the northwestern Pacific, being referred to Invest 95W, which is located approximately 716 NM east-southeast of Yokosuka, Japan

The system is currently classified as a subtropical cyclone, generally characterized as having both tropical and mid-latitude cyclone features.

Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery depicts low-level cloud lines wrapping into a fully-exposed low-level circulation, with isolated deep convection sheared to the east. A amsr2 wind speed image reveal a
highly asymmetric wind field with 30-35 knot winds displaced well to the south and east of the center.

As evident in the total precipitable water imagery, 95W is located along the eastern periphery of the monsoon gyre, with a highly asymmetric, extensive region of deep moisture extending westward to 125E.

Global models indicate the system will track poleward under the strong upper-level low over the next two days with gradual weakening.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 30 to 35 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.