By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There are no active tropical cyclones
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles off the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions could support some slow development through Thursday, but upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for further development by Thursday night or Friday while the system moves little.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some signs of organization in association with a surface trough located a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Interests in southern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
Western Pacific Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones…nor any areas of disturbed weather being investigated by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center