Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Wednesday, October 2, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 12L (Kirk)…located about 1370 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands

Tropical Cyclone 13L (Leslie)…located about 490 miles southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands

Tropical Cyclone 12L (Kirk)

MAJOR HURRICANE KIRK EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING

According to the NHC Advisory number 15

Kirk is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected over the day or so with a gradual turn to the north-northwest and north by this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Kirk is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Strengthening is forecast over the next couple of days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles
(350 km).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

SURF: Swells generated by Kirk are beginning to spread outward and could affect portions of Leeward Islands and Bermuda by this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Tropical Cyclone 13L (Leslie)

LESLIE FORMS OVER THE TROPICAL EASTERN ATLANTIC…EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS

According to the NHC Advisory number 3

Leslie is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). A continued slow westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is forecast, and Leslie is expected to become a hurricane in a couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.

>>> Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Gulf of
Mexico are associated with a surface trough. A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week, but subsequent tropical or subtropical development could be limited by the system’s potential interaction with a frontal boundary. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next few days and over portions of the Florida Peninsula next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent