Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Tuesday, October 1, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 12L (Kirk)…located about 1115 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands

Tropical Cyclone 12L (Kirk)

KIRK HOLDING STEADY

According to the NHC Advisory number 10

Kirk is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next few days and Kirk is expected to become a major hurricane by Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).

>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

Invest 91L

Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs organization in
association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent

>>> Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico:

A broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the southwestern Caribbean Sea into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form towards the end of this week or this weekend as the broader disturbance moves fully into the Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent