Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, September 7, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

There are no Tropical Cyclones

>>> Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure are located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The disturbance is expected to move very little during the next few days until it potentially interacts with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by early Monday. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or late portions of next week. The system is expected to begin moving slowly westward by the end of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent

>>> Central Tropical Atlantic:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic has begun to show signs of organization. Gradual additional development is possible, and a tropical depression could form while the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic through Monday and then moves generally westward at about 10 mph through the rest of next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent

>>> Western Gulf of Mexico:

Invest 91L

An area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is forecast to drift slowly northward during the next several days while it interacts with a frontal boundary. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves generally northward near or along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of next week. Interests along the western Gulf of Mexico coast should closely monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…80 percent