Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Thursday, September 5, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

There are no Tropical Cyclones

>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the early part of next week while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or northward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent

>>> Central Tropical Atlantic:

Another tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…near 0 percent

>>> Northwestern Atlantic :

Invest 99W

A gale-force, non-tropical area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles east of North Carolina is producing showers and thunderstorms with some signs of organization to the east of its center. This system could acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics over the next day or two while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States. The low is expected to move over cooler waters and become associated with fronts by early Saturday, and further development is not expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent

>>> Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located over the western Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development is not expected before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early Friday. Some slow development is possible later this weekend after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent

>>> Northwest Gulf of Mexico:

Invest 90L

A trough of low pressure is producing widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, including near the coasts of Louisiana and Texas. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development by Friday and Saturday as a frontal boundary approaches the system. Although development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or so.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent