Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Saturday, September 21, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

There are no active tropical Cyclones

>>> Central Subtropical Atlantic:

Invest 96L

An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of
Bermuda continues to produce showers and thunderstorms north of its
center. Although environmental conditions are not very favorable for development, a short-lived tropical depression can not be ruled out if showers and thunderstorms become better organized while the system moves generally northward at 5 to 10 mph over the central subtropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent

>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa over the next few days. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part of the week while the wave moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent

>>> Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure is likely to form during the next few days over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent portions of Central America. Thereafter, gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form as the system moves slowly northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico through the end of the week. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent