Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, September 1, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

There are no Tropical Cyclones

>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic:

A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow development throughout the week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent

>>> Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:

Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The disturbance is expected to move westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday, then cross the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development while the system moves across the central and western Caribbean Sea during the middle and latter parts of the week, and a tropical depression could form during that time. Regardless of development, this system could cause gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall over
portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight and Monday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent

>>> Northwestern Gulf of Mexico::

A broad area of low pressure just offshore of the upper Texas coast continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity near the coasts of Texas and Louisiana and over the adjacent waters of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system is expected to meander near the coast for the next couple of days, and some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. By Tuesday, the system is forecast to move inland, and further development is not expected. Regardless, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next couple of days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent