Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Friday, August 2, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and adjacent Seas

Current Tropical Cyclones:

Tropical Cyclone 03E (Carlotta)…is located about 590 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

Northeast Pacific Ocean:

Tropical Cyclone 03E (Carlotta)

HURRICANE CARLOTTA HEADING WESTWARD

Carlotta is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. By Saturday night, a turn to the west-northwest is forecast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast within the next day, followed by steady weakening through early next week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting the coasts of west-central mainland Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through Sunday.

>>> Western East Pacific:

Invest 95E

Showers and thunderstorms have become a little less organized in association with an area of low pressure located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system could still become a short-lived tropical depression before environmental conditions become unfavorable for development in a day or two.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent

>>> South of Southern Mexico:

Invest 96E

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico is associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, staying well offshore of the coast of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent

Central North Pacific: There are no Tropical Cyclones

Western Pacific, Indian Ocean and adjacent Seas: There are no Tropical Cyclones