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May
02
2013

PDC Global Flood Survey

Flooding in Eastern Africa and China!

Global 3 Day Rainfall

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying PDC Integrated Active Hazards and accumulated rainfall for the past 3 days

This week we continued to see flooding events occurring in many parts of the world! Flooding events were observed in England, Canada, the United States, Australia, China, Saudi Arabia, and Africa. In eastern Africa, the threat of flooding remains for many places, including eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya, as additional rains are forecast. This week we will take a closer look at the recent flooding events in Uganda, Kenya and China!

To learn more about floods and other types of natural hazards, check out the PDC’s Natural Hazards webpage! Want to know what hazards are occurring around the world or near you? Then, don’t forget to download the free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices!

Recent Flooding Events: Uganda and Kenya

Africa 7 Day Rainfall

PDC Global Hazards Atlas centered on Uganda, displaying PDC Integrated Active Hazards and accumulated rainfall for the past 7 days

Flooding continues in western Uganda and Kenya.  In Uganda, hundreds of people became stranded and many homes inundated due to the overflow of the Nyamwamba River (ReliefWeb/New Vision). In Kenya, over 8,000 people were evacuated as a result of the overflow of the Tana River, also resulting in the inundation of hundreds of homes (ReliefWeb/Kenya Daily Nation).

According to the most recent Africa Hazards Outlook, precipitation in East Africa is expected to weaken in early May. However, the risk of flooding for southwestern Kenya persists due to the lingering potential for heavy rainfall (NOAA/CPC).

Recent Flooding Events: China
China 7 Day Rainfall

PDC Global Hazards Atlas focused on south eastern China displaying PDC Integrated Active Hazards and accumulated rainfall for the past 7 days

Following heavy rainfall which started on April 28, seven provinces in south eastern China have experienced flooding, including Guangxi (the heaviest hit province), Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Sichuan, Guizhou, and Chongqing.  At least 16 people have been reported killed, 6 of whom were killed in Guangxi. Additionally, an estimated 2,600 houses have collapsed and over 10,000 were damaged. (ECHO)

The latest forecast for Guangxi, China shows areas of continued precipitation for the rest of the week.

Looking Ahead

PDC is currently monitoring flooding events/threats in: Australia, Canada, China, England, Kenya, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Uganda and the United States.

PDC will continue to monitor areas of high precipitation and keep a close eye on flooding across the globe. Want to find the most up-to-date information on flooding and other hazards occurring in your neighborhood or around the world? Then be sure to download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to continue to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by way of the Global Hazards Atlas.

buy cialis online Want to find the most up-to-date information on flooding and other hazards occurring in your neighborhood or around the world? Then be sure to download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to continue to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by way of the Global Hazards At

May
02
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has discontinued warnings on former tropical cyclone 23P (Zane). This leaves the Pacific and Indian Oceans, along with the Arabian Sea…without any active tropical cyclone activity. Additionally, there are no suspect formation areas that are being looked at today.

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico satellite image

Central North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU, HAWAII

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

There are no current tropical cyclones

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

May
01
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical cyclone 23P (Zane) remains active in the northwestern Coral Sea…located approximately 190 NM north-northeast of Cairns, Australia (Weakening tropical cyclone…sustained winds of 55 knots, with gusts to near 70 knots)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, strengthening tropical cyclone 23P (Zane), with JTWC positions, segments and winds…over the northwest Coral Sea

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, strengthening tropical cyclone 23P (Zane), with JTWC positions, segments, error cones and winds…over the northwestern Coral Sea

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) continues to report on TC Zane in the northwestern Coral Sea, located approximately 190 NM north-northeast of Cairns, Australia. This tropical cyclone has tracked westward at near 07 knots over the past six hours. Satellite imagery shows a partially exposed low level circulation center…to the northwest of an area of rapidly decaying deep convection. The intensity forecast has been decreased from the previous forecast, due to the presence of an increasing northwesterly vertical wind shear over TC 23P.

During the past 12 hours, TC Zane has undergone a definite weakening, and is forecast to continue this weakening trend through the next 24 hours. After this 24 hour period, TC 23P strikes the Queensland coast, moving over the Cape York Peninsula. This tropical system will then re-emerge over the Gulf of Carpentaria. As it moves back over the Gulf however, it is forecast to weaken through the remainder of the forecast period, due to increasing vertical wind shear…and a generally unfavorable environment for restrengthening.

According to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, tropical cyclone Zane is being rated a category 1 tropical cyclone, with wind gusts up to 95km/h, and is moving in a west-northwest direction towards the east coast of Cape York Peninsula. It is expected to cross the coast between Orford Ness and Cape Sidmouth as a weak Category 1 cyclone, or a tropical low Thursday morning.

Gale winds may develop along the coastal areas between Cape Grenville and Cape Flattery this morning, possibly extending through the northwestern Peninsula district during the day.

As the cyclone approaches and then crosses the coast, abnormally high tides are expected between Cape Grenville and Coen, but the sea level should not exceed the highest tide of the year. Large waves are likely along the beachfront areas. Locally heavy rainfall, associated with thunderstorms…may lead to flash flooding over the Peninsula district today.

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico satellite image

Central North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU, HAWAII

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

There are no current tropical cyclones

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 23P (Zane)

JTWC textual forecast advisory
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC – satellite image
Pacific Disaster Center’s Global Hazards Atlas

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Apr
30
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical cyclone 23P (Zane) is now active in the northern Coral Sea…located approximately 135 NM north-northwest of Willis Island, Australia (Strengthening tropical cyclone…sustained winds of 60 knots, with gusts to near 75 knots)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, strengthening tropical cyclone 23P (Zane), with JTWC positions, segments and winds…over the north Coral Sea

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, strengthening tropical cyclone 23P (Zane), with JTWC positions, segments and winds…over the north Coral Sea

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) is reporting a tropical cyclone in the northern Coral Sea, located approximately 135 NM north-north-west of Willis Island, Australia. This new tropical cyclone named 23P (Zane) has tracked west-southwest at near 07 knots over the past six hours. Satellite imagery shows a near 100 NM diameter central dense overcast, with a 6 NM cloud-filled eye. Willis Island looping radar imagery shows the precipitation associated with TC Zane. Surface observations from Willis Island indicate sustained surface winds ranging between 30-35 knots (35-40 mph).

During the past 12 hours, TC Zane has undergone a rapid intensification (RI), and due to this action, the JTWC has significantly increased the winds from 35 knots to 60 knots. Favorable environmental conditions remain in place, with continued intensification expected through the next 24 hours. TC Zane will peak at 85 knot sustained winds…which is just prior to making landfall. After TC 23P strikes the Queensland coast, moving over the Cape York Peninsula, it will re-emerge over the Gulf of Carpentaria. As it moves back over the Gulf however, it is forecast to weaken through the remainder of the forecast period…due to increasing vertical wind shear.

According to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology: Areas of heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, are expected to develop across parts of far northern Queensland north of Cape Tribulation today as the system approaches the coast

TROPICAL CYCLONE ZANE, CATEGORY 2, with wind gusts up to 160km/h is moving towards the west and is expected to develop a west-northwest track during this morning and cross the far northern Queensland coast between Orford Ness and Cape Melville on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 160 km/hr may develop between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville late Wednesday. GALES are expected to develop about coastal areas between Orford Ness and Cape Tribulation during Wednesday morning and may extend further north and west to Cape York and the western side of Cape York Peninsula north of Mapoon, overnight Wednesday or early Thursday.

Coastal residents between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville are specifically warned of the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast. The sea is likely to rise steadily up to a level well above the normal tide, with damaging waves and flooding of some low-lying areas close to the shoreline. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by the authorities.

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico satellite image

Central North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU, HAWAII

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

There are no current tropical cyclones

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 23P (Zane)

JTWC textual forecast advisory
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC – satellite image
Pacific Disaster Center’s Global Hazards Atlas

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Apr
29
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, with a tropical disturbance in the Coral Sea...that has a high chance of developing within 24 hours

The area circled in red above, now has a high chance of developing, as stated by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). This area is located approximately 515 NM east-northeast of Cairns, Australia. Here’s the looping radar image from Cairns, showing showers well offshore. Satellite imagery shows increasing organization of the low level circulation…as shallow convective banding is beginning to wrap around the circulation center. Upper air analysis is showing low vertical wind shear above, of only 5-10 knots.

Sea surface temperatures remain favorable for development, ranging between 29-30 degrees Celsius (85-86F). Winds in the area are blowing between 25-30 knots (29-35 mph). Based on the overall improving organization of this tropical system, the potential for development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours…has been upgraded to a high status.

The Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology (BAM) is stating that this low pressure system is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours. This deepening tropical low, over the northern Coral Sea, is moving slowly to the west, and is expected to deepen further as it tracks west towards the far north Queensland coast.

Strong gales may develop along coastal areas between Cooktown and Cape Melville Wednesday morning, and extend further north to Thursday Island later on Wednesday. Areas of heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, are expected to develop across parts of far northern Queensland late Tuesday into Wednesday…as the tropical low approaches the coast.

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico satellite image

Central North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU, HAWAII

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

There are no current tropical cyclones

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

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