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Nov
28
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

https://pzal.ndbc.noaa.gov/collab/jtwc/products/abiosair.jpg

However,  there’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 96S…located approximately 333 NM northeast of  Cocos Island, Australia

Here’s a satellite image of this disturbance…and what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts limited convection over a poorly organized low level circulation center.

Upper air analysis shows the disturbance under strong 20-25 knot wind shear, and weak divergence…while sea surface temperatures remain favorably warm.

Global models predict that 96S will move eastward into an environment that’s more conducive for formation.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium

>>> Meanwhile,  there’s a second tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 95S…located approximately 317 NM southeast of Jakarta, Indonesia

Here’s what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts flaring convection into a well organized low level circulation center.

Upper air analysis shows that 95S is under a region of favorable divergence, with light to moderate 10-20 knot wind shear. Meanwhile, sea surface temperatures remain warm.

Global models indicate that 95S will remain near stationary…drifting slowly east to southward over the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 28-33 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is downgraded to medium

 

https://pzal.ndbc.noaa.gov/collab/jtwc/products/abiosair.jpg

Finally,  there’s a third tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 91B…located approximately 121 NM east-southeast of Colombo, Sri Lanka

Here’s what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows an unorganized and elongated low level circulation center…with scattered convection throughout the periphery of the circulation.

Upper air analysis shows that 91B is under a region of favorable divergence, offset by moderate to strong 25-30 knot wind shear. Meanwhile, sea surface temperatures remain warm.

Global models are slow to develop this system as it tracks to the northeast.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 23-28 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high

 

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Nov
28
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation

Tropical Cyclone Activity is not expected for the time being, nor are any tropical disturbances under investigation by the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Atlantic Ocean

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Nov
27
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation

However,  there’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 96S…located approximately 283 NM north-northeast of  Cocos Island, Australia

Here’s a satellite image of this disturbance…and what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts a significant loss of convection over an elongated low level circulation center.

Upper air analysis shows the disturbance under strong 20-25 knot wind shear…while sea surface temperatures remain favorably warm.

Global models predict that 96S will move eastward toward Java, and eventually southeastward…into an environment that’s more conducive for formation.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium

>>> Finally,  there’s a second tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 95S…located approximately 305 NM southeast of Jakarta, Indonesia

Here’s what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts flaring convection tightly wrapping into a low level circulation center.

Upper air analysis shows that 95S is under a region of favorable divergence and poleward outflow, with light to moderate 10-20 knot wind shear. Meanwhile, sea surface temperatures remain warm…supporting further development.

Global models indicate that 95S will track slowly eastward over the next 1-2 days, then likely turn poleward thereafter.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 28-33 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high

According to the INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS

– Moderate to heavy rain at southern Banten, DKI Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, East Java, and Yogyakarta
– Strong winds up to 20 knot at southern Banten, southern Central Java and Yogyakarta
– Significant wave height 1.25 – 2.5 m on northen part of Sunda Strait, center part of Jawa Sea, norhtern waters of East Java to Kangean Islands, Sumbawa Sea, Bali Strait to Alas Strait to southern part of Lombok Strait, and southern waters of Bali to Sumba
– Significant wave height 2.5 – 4 m on southern waters of East Java and eastern part of Java Sea
– Significant wave height 4 – 6 m on southern part of Sunda Strait, southern waters of Banten to West Java, Indian Ocean west of Bengkulu to south of Central Java.


Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Nov
27
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation

Tropical Cyclone Activity is not expected for the time being, nor are any tropical disturbances under investigation by the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Atlantic Ocean

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

Nov
26
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

https://pzal.ndbc.noaa.gov/collab/jtwc/products/abiosair.jpg

However,  there’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 96S…located approximately 375 NM north-northwest of  Cocos Island, Australia

Here’s a satellite image of this disturbance…and what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a significant loss of convection over an elongated low level circulation system.

Upper air analysis reveals that wind shear, assessed at 25-30 knots, has increased over 96S…although sea surface temperatures remain warm.

Global models predict that the system will move eastward towards Java, and eventually southeastward…into an environment that’s more conducive for development.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium

>>> Finally,  there’s a second tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 95S…located approximately 245 NM southeast of Jakarta, Indonesia

Here’s what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts a persistent mass of convection over a cohesive low level circulation.

Sea surface temperatures are warm…sustaining deep convection.

Global models vary greatly in track forecast, some showing the disturbance moving south…while others showing it moving northeast over Java.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 28-33 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high

 

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.


Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

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