Pacific Disaster Center Fostering Disaster Resilient Communities  

Providing Weather and Hazard Related News

Weather Wall

 

 

May
14
2018

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones at this time

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying a weak tropical disturbance circled in yellow

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/91A/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif

However, there’s a tropical disturbance circled in yellow above, which is being referred to as Invest 91A…located approximately 280 NM southeast of Socotra Island in the Arabian Sea

Here’s what the computer models are showing for this area of disturbed weather.

Here’s a near real time wind profile of this tropical disturbance.

The JTWC reports that satellite imagery depicts an elongated circulation, with small pockets of flaring convection located to the south.

Invest 91A is located in an area of limited divergence aloft, although low 5-10 knot wind shear, and sea water temperatures that are favorably warm for development.

Meanwhile, models maintain tight troughing or a small circulation in the Arabian Sea, and some predict development after 3-days…and it moves westward.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low

 

Eastern North Pacific

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android devices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.

© 2015-2018 Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) – All rights reserved.  Commercial use is permitted only with explicit approval of PDC