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May
14
2018

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying a weak tropical disturbance circled in yellow

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/Satellite/hicbsat.gif

However, an area of disturbed weather is active in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico…despite the fact that we’re two weeks away from the beginning of the hurricane season

The National Hurricane Center currently gives it a low chance of development over the next 5 days. If it were to reach tropical storm strength however…it would take on the name Alberto.

Here’s a looping satellite image of this area of disturbed weather

Regardless of subtropical or tropical cyclone formation, this system will enhance rainfall across portions of Florida and the northeastern Gulf Coast during the next few days.

Here’s the current radar image over and near Florida

Here’s the Precipitation Outlook map through Friday

Much of Florida can expect 1-3 inches of rain through this new week. Locally higher amounts are expected in heavier thunderstorms, and totals of 3-7 inches are possible in southeastern and eastern Florida.

This tropical moisture will also prompt downpours that result in rainfall totals of 1-3 inches across other parts of the Southeast…and eventually into the Northeast later this week.

According to the NHC, a deep-layer non-tropical area of low pressure located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico continues to produce widespread cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms across much of Florida and southeastern Georgia.

Although this system could still acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves slowly northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days, the low has not shown signs of increased organization during the past 24 hours.

Regardless of subtropical or tropical cyclone formation, this system will produce locally heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Florida and the southeastern United States during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

 

Atlantic Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no current tropical cyclones

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

 

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