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May
13
2018

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/Satellite/hicbsat.gif

However, an area of disturbed weather is active in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico…despite the fact that we’re two weeks away from the beginning of the hurricane season

A recent NOAA satellite image of the cloud field associated with this disturbance

Here’s the current sea surface temperature map

Regardless of development, the counter-clockwise flow of air around this low pressure system will carry large amounts of tropical moisture over Florida…resulting in very heavy rains.

Here’s the NOAA Precipitation Outlook map through the next week

A large area of cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms extending from western Cuba across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, the Florida Straits, and much of the Florida Peninsula, is associated with a broad surface low and trough interacting with an upper-level low.

This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves slowly northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.

Regardless of subtropical or tropical cyclone formation, this system will enhance rainfall across portions of Florida and the northeastern Gulf Coast during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

 

Atlantic Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no current tropical cyclones

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

 

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