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Jan
09
2018

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

Tropical Cyclone 05S is located about 75 NM northeast of Broome, Australia

Tropical Cyclone 04S (Irving) is located about 738 NM east-southeast of Port Louis, Mauritius

https://pzal.ndbc.noaa.gov/collab/jtwc/products/sh0518.gif

Tropical Cyclone 05S will continue to move along the NW Australian coast

Here’s a satellite image of this TC, along with what the computer models are showing

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #2 were 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots.

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying 3-hour precipitation accumulation, Tropical Cyclone segments, positions, wind radii, and error cone for TC 04S (Irving)

Tropical Cyclone 04S (Irving) remains active in the South Indian Ocean…although staying away from land

Here’s a satellite image of this TC, along with what the computer models are showing

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows persistent flaring central convection, being sheared slightly to the south with a strong poleward outflow channel.

Upper level analysis shows a high pressure system positioned to the east, which is causing wind shear from the northeast.

TC 04S will move west-southwestward, although shortly after 24 hours shift south-southeast.

Sea surface temperatures in the region aren’t that warm, and will continue to decline rapidly as the storm moves poleward. This cooler water, combined with increasing wind shear will continue to weaken the system over the duration of the forecast period.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #17 were 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots

 

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 05S 

JTWC textual forecast warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Tropical Cyclone 04S (Irving)

JTWC textual forecast warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

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