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Nov
29
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

Tropical Cyclone 03B is located about 904 NM north-northeast of Diego Garcia

https://pzal.ndbc.noaa.gov/collab/jtwc/products/abiosair.jpg

Tropical Cyclone 03B is active…as it moves away from Sri Lanka over the open ocean

According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts increasing convective organization associated with TS 03B.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #2 were 40 knots with gusts of 50 knots.

>>> Meanwhile,  there’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96S …located approximately 280 NM west-southwest of Jakarta, Indonesia

Here’s a satellite image of this disturbance…and what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts a broad low level circulation center, with formative convective banding over the western semi-circle.

Upper air analysis shows the disturbance in a marginally favorable environment, with moderate to strong 25-35 knot wind shear, offset by good poleward outflow.

Global models indicate that 96S will steadily develop while tracking east-southeastward to southeastward into a more favorable upper level environment over the next 2-days.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 28-33 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high

>>> Finally, there’s a second tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 93W…located approximately 388 NM northwest of Singapore

Here’s a satellite image of this disturbance…and what the computer models are showing.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a slowly developing low level circulation center…with disorganized deep convection flaring over the northern semi-circle.

Upper air analysis shows that 93W is in a marginal environment, with moderate wind shear and broad easterly diffluent flow.

Global models indicate a west-northwestward track across the Malay Peninsula into the Bay of Bengal…with significant development after the system re-emerges over water between 48-72 hours out.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 10-15 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.

 

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 03B

JTWC textual forecast warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

 

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