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Oct
16
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif

There’s a tropical disturbance that has a low chance of developing, and is expected to turn north and then northeast…with Bermuda a possible target

This area of disturbed weather is being referred to as Invest 92L, here’s a satellite image, with the looping version…and what the computer models are showing.

This system brought heavy rain and flooding to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on Sunday.

Invest 92L could develop into a tropical depression or storm early this week. If this system does develop into a tropical storm, it would receive the name Philippe.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC):

Broad low pressure centered about 500 miles southwest of Bermuda continues to produce an elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms which extends from Puerto Rico northward over the western Atlantic Ocean.

The low’s circulation is not well defined, and significant tropical development appears unlikely during the next day or so due to strong upper-level winds.

The disturbance is forecast to move generally northeastward, merging with a frontal system over the western Atlantic by Tuesday night.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

 

Atlantic Ocean

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

 

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