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Aug
10
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

Retiring Tropical Cyclone 07L (Franklin) is  located about 20 miles north-northwest of Mexico City, Mexico – Last Advisory

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards,Tropical Cyclone segments, positions, for Retiring Tropical Cyclone Franklin

Franklin, was the first hurricane of the 2017 season,which impacted the east coast of mainland Mexico…and is dissipating inland now

The government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings.

Here’s a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a looping satellite image of this tropical storm.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), surface synoptic data and visible satellite images indicate that the surface circulation of Franklin has dissipated over south-central Mexico, not far from Mexico City.

The remnants are moving westward, at about 20 mph.

A strong mid- to upper-level high pressure system should continue to steer the remnants of Franklin generally westward across Mexico today and tonight. Since the mid-level remnants of Franklin are likely to survive while moving into the east Pacific by Friday morning, the system will be monitored for signs of development in that basin.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:

RAINFALL: The remnants of Franklin are expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible across the Mexican states of northern Veracruz, Puebla, Tlaxacala, eastern Guanajuato, Hidalgo, Queretaro and eastern San Luis Potosi in eastern Mexico. These rains are capable of producing life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards, 3-hour precipitation accumulations…with a tropical disturbance that has a low chance of developing

Meanwhile, there’s a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean…which has a low chance of developing through the next 2-days

This system may bring rain and wind to the islands of the eastern Caribbean this weekend.

This disturbance is being referred to as Invest 99L, here’s a satellite image…along with what the computer models are showing.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located about a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands…have changed little overnight.

Some slow development of this system is possible during the weekend while the system moves northwestward over the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards, 3-hour precipitation accumulations…with a tropical disturbance that has a low chance of developing

Finally, a second tropical disturbance is located near the Bahamas

A trough of low pressure over the Bahamas is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Although development is not anticipated, this system could bring locally heavy rains to portions of the Bahamas and Florida during the next day or two.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent

 

Atlantic Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

Tropical cyclone 07L  (Franklin) Last Advisory

NHC textual forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

 

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