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Jun
14
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards, 3-hour precipitation accumulation

However,  a tropical disturbance has a low chance of forming in the eastern Atlantic Ocean…within the next 2-5 days

According to the National Hurricane Center, showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands, associated with a strong tropical wave, have recently diminished. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur during the next several days…while the wave moves westward near 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic.

Tropical waves are areas of showers and thunderstorms, which can move westward near or just north of the equator…and can spin up into tropical cyclones.

If this particular tropical wave remains south of a zone of strong westerly winds aloft, and an area of dry air near the surface, it could possibly develop over the next few days.

If this system were to take a southern path, it could bring showers to the Windward Islands Sunday or early next week.

Here’s a weather graphic showing the details described above.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent


Atlantic Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands associated with a strong tropical wave have recently diminished. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur during the next several days while the wave moves westward near 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and adjacent land areas by the weekend. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves slowly northwestward toward the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no current tropical cyclones

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

 

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