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May
30
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 02B (Mora) remains active…located inland over Bangladesh

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards, 3-hour precipitation accumulations, Tropical Cyclone segments, positions for Tropical Cyclone Mora

Tropical Cyclone 02B (Mora) remains active…although will weaken rapidly over land

Here’s the latest NOAA satellite image of this system…and what the computer models are showing

Looping satellite image of this tropical cyclone

Here’s a near real-time wind profile of TC 02B

Tropical Cyclone Mora has moved ashore in Bangladesh, with storm surge flooding, high winds, and heavy rainfall.

TC Mora made landfall along the southeast coast of Bangladesh near Kutubdia Island between Chittagong, the country’s second largest city with a population of near 4 million, and Cox’s Bazar, according to the India Meteorological Department.

At the time of landfall, Mora was classified as a “severe cyclonic storm” by the IMD, with estimated sustained winds of roughly 65-70 mph…the equivalent of a strong tropical storm.

The Bangladesh Meteorological Department had warned of a storm surge of 4-5 feet above normal tide levels, as the center of Mora approached, pushing water from the Bay of Bengal into coastal districts.

Heavy rainfall is expected along, north and east of the track over eastern Bangladesh, northeast India and western Myanmar…extending northward to the foothills of the Himalayas.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery depicts improved consolidation, with an eye feature struggling to emerge over the past 6-hours.

TC Mora has reached its peak intensity, and is expected to rapidly weaken due to land interaction.

Land interaction near Chittagong, Bangladesh has occurred, and the system will continue to track inland…fully dissipating within 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #10 were 65 knots with gusts of 80 knots.

 

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards and 24-hour precipitation accumulations

Meanwhile, there’s a tropical disturbance in the eastern Pacific…being referred to as Invest 91E

Here’s a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing

According to the National Hurricane Center, disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Gulf of Tehuantepec southwestward for several hundred miles, are associated with a broad area of low pressure.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next several days…while it drifts generally northward.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rains may spread onto the coast of southeastern and southern Mexico during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

 

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from near the Gulf of Tehuantepec southwestward for several hundred miles are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next several days while it drifts generally northward. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains may spread onto the coast of southeastern and southern Mexico during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent

Satellite image of this area

Central North Pacific

The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2017.

Here’s the NOAA 2016 Hurricane Season Summary for the Central Pacific Basin

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 02B (Mora)

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

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