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Apr
06
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 14P is dissipating…located about 102 NM south of Niue

Tropical Cyclone 15S is now active…located about 572 NM north-northwest of Learmonth, Australia

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying Tropical Cyclone Segments, Positions, and PDC Active Hazards for retiring Tropical Cyclone 14P

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying Tropical Cyclone Segments, Positions, 3-hour precipitation accumulations, and PDC Active Hazards for retiring Tropical Cyclone 14

Tropical Cyclone 14P is unraveling…and has been given its Final Warning by the JTWC

Here’s the latest NOAA satellite image of this system

Here’s a near real-time wind profile of TC 14P

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite images show the associated convection has significantly sheared east of the low level circulation.

Upper level analysis indicates the cyclone has drifted into an area of strong 30-40 knot wind shear.

TC 14P has weakened below the JTWC warning criteria.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #3 were 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying Tropical Cyclone Segments, Positions, and PDC Active Hazards, and 3-hour precipitation accumulations for Tropical Cyclone 15S

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying Tropical Cyclone Segments, Positions, PDC Active Hazards, and 3-hour precipitation accumulations for Tropical Cyclone 15S

Tropical Cyclone 15S is now active…and will remain over the South Indian Ocean away from land

Here’s the latest NOAA satellite image of this system – and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a near real-time wind profile of TC 15S

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite images show the system has further consolidated as central convection deepened.

Upper level analysis indicates the system is in an area of strong 25-30 knot westerly wind shear.

TC 15S is tracking south-southwestward, and then is expected to turn more towards the west.

Strong outflow will promote modest intensification over the next 24 hours. Afterwards, increasing wind shear will prevail and gradually erode, and then eventually dissipate the system within 72 hours.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #1 were 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots.

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30, 2016. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2017.

Here’s the NOAA 2016 Hurricane Season Summary for the Eastern Pacific Basin

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30, 2016. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2017.

Here’s the NOAA 2016 Hurricane Season Summary for the Central Pacific Basin

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 13P Final Warning

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone 14S

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

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