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Jan
04
2017

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (3-hours) layers

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (3-hours) layers

However, there’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 90B…which is located approximately 600 NM south of Yangon, Myanmar

Here’s a JTWC satellite image of this area of disturbed weather…along with what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery shows a consolidating low level circulation with increasing convection, and distinct cloud banding.

The disturbance is located in an area of good poleward and westerly upper level outflow, warm sea surface temperatures…and an area of low to medium 10-15 wind shear.

Global models show the disturbance tracking to the north-northwest over the next few days, with intensification and consolidation likely within 2-3 days.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium

 

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (3-hours) layers

PDC Disaster Alert, displaying PDC Active Hazards and Rainfall Accumulation (3-hours) layers

Finally, there’s a second tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 94S…which is located approximately 265 NM east-northeast of Broome, Australia

Here’s a JTWC satellite image of this area of disturbed weather…along with what the computer models are showing

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), satellite imagery reveals a large area of persistent, although disorganized convection to the west of a distinct low level circulation center.

The disturbance is currently tracking over land, with strong upper level outflow, and unfavorable 20-25 knot wind shear.

Global model guidance are in agreement that the disturbance will continue to track to the southwest and parallel the northwestern coast of Australia over the next several days…with a small possibility of the system drifting offshore…and consolidating into a tropical cyclone over the very warm water in the area.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 20-25 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium

 

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2017.

Here’s the NOAA 2016 Hurricane Season Summary for the Eastern Pacific Basin

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2016 hurricane season has occurred. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant. The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2017.

Here’s the NOAA 2016 Hurricane Season Summary for the Central Pacific Basin

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

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