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Oct
18
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 24W (Sarika) remains active…located about 189 NM east-southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam

Tropical Cyclone 25W (Haima) is active…located about 474 NM east of Manila, Philippines

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, with 3-day Cone of Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclone Sarika

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, with 3-day Cone of Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclone Sarika

Tropical Storm 24W (Sarika) remains active…heading towards Vietnam

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…along with what the computer models are showing

TC Sarika will continue to track northwestward through the next 48 hours…at approximately 10 knots.

In the extended hours, TC Sarika is expected to make landfall in Vietnam as a Tropical Storm…with approximate wind speeds of 50 kts.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #25 were 55 knots with gusts of 70 knots.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, with 3-day Cone of Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclone Haima

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, with 3-day Cone of Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclone Haima

Super Typhoon 25W (Haima) is active in the western Pacific…heading towards the Philippines

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…along with what the computer models are showing

TC Sarika will continue to track northwestward through the next 48 hours…at approximately 15 knots.

In the extended hours, TC Haima is expected to cross the northern tip of the Philippines as a Category 4 Typhoon…with approximate wind speeds of 145 knots.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #16 were 140 knots with gusts of 170 knots.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing within 24 hours

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing within 24 hours

Meanwhile, there’s an area of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific, being referred to as Invest 99E,

Here’s a satellite image, along with what the computer models are showing

Some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while it moves generally westward at 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

1.) A low pressure system located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur during the next couple of days before environmental conditions become less conducive. The low is forecast to move west-southwestward at about 10 mph during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones.

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 24W (Sarika)

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Tropical Cyclone 25W (Haima)

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area