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Oct
17
2016

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical Cyclone 24W (Sarika) remains active…located about 409 NM east-southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam

Tropical Cyclone 25W (Haima) is active…located about 787 NM east of Manila, Philippines

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, with 3-day Cone of Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclone Sarika

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, with 3-day Cone of Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclone Sarika

Typhoon 24W (Sarika) remains active…heading towards an impact with Hainan

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…along with what the computer models are showing

TC Sarika will continue to track northwestward through the next 48 hours…at approximately 08 knots.

In the extended hours, TC Sarika is expected to make landfall on Hainan as a Category 1 Typhoon…with approximate wind speeds of 75 mph. It is expected cross over Hainan and continue toward Vietnam, making landfall as a weakened Tropical Storm.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #21 were 80 knots with gusts of 100 knots.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, with 3-day Cone of Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclone Haima

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying tropical cyclone Positions and Segments, with 3-day Cone of Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclone Haima

Typhoon 25W (Haima) is active in the western Pacific…heading towards the Philippines

Here’s the latest satellite image of this system, with the looping version…along with what the computer models are showing

TC Sarika will continue to track northwestward through the next 48 hours…at approximately 08 knots.

In the extended hours, TC Haima is expected to cross the northern tip of the Philippines as a Category 4 Typhoon…with approximate wind speeds of 130 knots.

Maximum sustained winds as of the JTWC Warning #12 were 115 knots with gusts of 140 knots.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing within 2-days

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying rainfall accumulation over the last 3-hours…and a tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing within 2-days

Meanwhile, there’s an area of disturbed weather in the eastern Pacific, being referred to as Invest 99E,

Here’s a satellite image, along with what the computer models are showing

Some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while it moves generally westward at 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

1.) A well-defined low pressure system located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is still possible during the next couple of days before environmental conditions become less conducive. The disturbance is forecast to move west-southwestward at about 10 mph during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones.

Satellite image of this area

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 24W (Sarika)

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

Tropical Cyclone 25W (Haima)

JTWC textual forecast
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite Image

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area