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May
26
2015

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 1-day precipitation accumulations

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 1-day precipitation accumulations

The two areas of disturbed weather, circled in yellow above, both have a low chance of developing into active tropical cyclones during the next two days.

The area that’s being referred to as Invest 91E, which is the area further west, is located unusually far west in the eastern Pacific. Here’s what the hurricane models are showing for this area. Interestingly, several of the models want to take this potential system westward across the 140W line of longitude, into the Central Pacific…if it were to develop.

The second area, which is offshore to the south of the southern Mexican coast, has a high chance of developing at some point over the next five days.

If one or the other of these two tropical disturbances spin-up into tropical depressions, the first two names in the eastern Pacific will be Andres and Blanca.

Here’s a NOAA satellite image of these areas…along with the looping version


Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south of the coast of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high…80 percent

2. A nearly-stationary area of low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms well east of the circulation center. Upper-level winds are expected to become less favorable today and significant development of this system is not expected.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low…10 percent

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2014 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2015. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin its coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2015.

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area