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Apr
15
2015

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, with an area of tropical disturbance (circled in yellow) with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, with an area of tropical disturbance (circled in yellow) with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.

There’s an area of disturbed weather in the southern Indian Ocean, circled in yellow above…which has a low chance of developing

Here’s a real-time wind profile of the area – along with a JTWC satellite image

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2014 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2015. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2015.

Tropical Cyclone Reports – 2014

Here’s the northeast Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2014 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2015. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin its coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2015.

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Here’s the central Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface temperatures for this area of the NW Pacific

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for this area of the South Pacific

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 98.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1S 98.6E, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, BUT STILL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISORGANIZED FLARING CONVECTION. A 151308Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS FRAGMENTED, CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY WRAPPING INTO A POORLY DEFINED LLCC. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA FURTHER DEPICTS A BROAD AND ELONGATED LLCC WITH 20-25 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN OUTER PERIPHERIES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW A MODERATE ENVIRONMENT WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH JUST WEST OF THE DISTURBANCE PRODUCING CONVERGENCE ALOFT WITH 20 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, PROHIBITING ORGANIZED CONVECTION. BASED ON DYNAMIC MODELS, THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OVER THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO DETRIMENTAL IMPACTS OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the South Indian Ocean

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Arabian Sea