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Apr
13
2015

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, with an area of tropical disturbance (circled in yellow) with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulations, with an area of tropical disturbance (circled in yellow) with a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours.

There’s an area of disturbed weather in the southern Indian Ocean, circled in yellow above…which has a low chance of developing

Here’s a real-time wind profile of TC 22S – along with a JTWC satellite image

Eastern North Pacific

The eastern Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2014 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on May 15, 2015. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin coverage of the eastern Pacific again on May 15, 2015.

Tropical Cyclone Reports – 2014

Here’s the northeast Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Central North Pacific

The central north Pacific hurricane season officially ended on November 30. Therefore, the last regularly scheduled tropical weather outlook of the 2014 hurricane season has occurred. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2015. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

The Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) will begin its coverage of the central Pacific again on June 1, 2015.

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Here’s the central Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface temperatures for this area of the NW Pacific

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for this area of the South Pacific

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3S 95.9E  IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1S 96.9E, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM SOUTH OF THE  COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A  BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH POORLY-ORGANIZED,  FLARING DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED OVER THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF AN  ILL-DEFINED CENTER. A 131332Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED,  SHALLOW CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE BROAD LLCC. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE COCOS ISLANDS INDICATE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY  WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, SLP NEAR 1008MB AND A 24-HOUR SLP DECREASE OF 2MB. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED WITHIN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT UNDER A DEEP SHORTWAVE TROUGH, WHICH IS INHIBITING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. BASED ON THE DYNAMIC MODELS, THIS UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OVER THE SYSTEM FOR AT LEAST A FEW DAYS, THEREFORE, SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY DURING THIS TIMEFRAME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the South Indian Ocean

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Arabian Sea