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May
30
2014

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

http://www.pdc.org/weather/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Timor-Sea1-1024x687.jpg

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation

Here’s a NASA satellite picture taken this morning, which shows what’s left of now retired Amanda, which as we recall was a very powerful hurricane (Category 4) earlier in her life. Now that Amanda has faded into hurricane history as the strongest May hurricane on record in the Eastern Pacific, we’re keeping an eye on a developing area of disturbed weather described below.

This tropical disturbance has formed several hundred miles south of southeastern Mexico. This activity is poorly organized at the moment, but environmental conditions should become more conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days…as it drifts northward.

Meanwhile, NOAA’s Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Guidance Product, shows that this area has a medium to lower high chance of developing at some point during the next 24-48 hours.

As was the case yesterday, the Navy’s continues to confirm that the area of disturbed weather described above will become an active tropical cyclone, and move more or less northward towards the coast of very southern Mexico…and inland from there. Meanwhile, the GFS model, although less aggressive, also shows a TC forming over the far eastern Pacific, and moving inland near the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

Here’s a looping satellite image of this general area – along with a color enhanced animated satellite image.

Here’s the northeast Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Eastern North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI MAY 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south
of southeastern Mexico. This activity is currently poorly organized,
but environmental conditions should become conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next few days as it drifts
northward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

Eastern Pacific Satellite Image

Here’s the northeast Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Central North Pacific

The Central Pacific hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th…and will begin again June 1st. Here’s the 2013 hurricane season summary

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Here’s the central Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface temperatures for this area of the NW Pacific

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for this area of the South Pacific

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

Here’s the Sea Surface Temperatures for the South Indian Ocean

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area