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May
16
2014

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

http://www.pdc.org/weather/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Timor-Sea1-1024x687.jpg

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation

Neither the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), or the National Hurricane Center (NHC are reporting any active tropical cyclones.

Meanwhile, the area circled in yellow in the PDC Atlas above, offshore to the south of Acapulco, Mexico, has been given a low 10% chance of developing over the next few days.

The GFS model isn’t getting excited about this disturbance, while the Navy models show something forming in the area of yellow above, moving west or west-northwest for a distance…before shifting more or less northward around 110W longitude…towards the southern tip of Baja California. This model weakens this possible system it as it gets north of 15-17 degrees north latitude. This isn’t an official forecast, but rather a reading of the models at the time of this writing – Friday, May 16th at 715am HST.

Here’s a looping satellite image of this general area being referred to above.

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI MAY 16 2014

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Systems with the potential to become a tropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours:

1. An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south
of Acapulco Mexico. Environmental conditions could become a little
more conducive for development during the next few days while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Eastern Pacific Satellite Image

Here’s the northeast and central Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Central North Pacific

The Central Pacific hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th…and will begin again June 1st. Here’s the 2013 hurricane season summary

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Here’s the northeast and central Pacific’s Sea Surface Temperatures

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area