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May
09
2014

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

http://www.pdc.org/weather/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Timor-Sea1-1024x687.jpg

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation

Neither the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), or the National Hurricane Center (NHC are reporting any active tropical cyclones…nor areas of disturbed weather under investigation today.

The two areas earlier this week that were showing signs of developing, one near the southwest coast of India, and the other near the coast of southern Mexico…have both faded away.

Meanwhile, NOAA’s Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Guidance Product, shows an area with a low chance of developing during the next 24 hours…offshore from the Central American coast. As their product shows, this area is also on the graphic during the 24-48 period as well.

This next product, from SOEST at the University of Hawaii, shows an extended period, out through the next month. In terms of this area offshore of southern Mexico, it appears that the period between May 8th through the 14th…has an improved chance of seeing something forming in those increasingly warm waters of the northeastern Pacific. This is an experimental product, and isn’t directly associated with the NHC.

Looking at the GFS and Navy models today out through the middle of the month, there don’t appear to be any significant tropical cyclones forming…at least at the time of this writing.

Here’s what the Navy model is showing for the Pacific and Indian Ocean basins, with only one area, between 5-10 degrees north latitude, around 150E longitude…looking like the most active between the 14-17th of this month.  Meanwhile, here’s what the GFS model is showing for the Central and Eastern Pacific, which doesn’t show any significant action either. Again, this is just a snapshot from today, and things can and often do change moving forward.

In sum, there’s nothing going on today in terms of tropical cyclone activity, along with those unofficial looks into the future…and the forecast models.

 

Eastern North Pacific

The Eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th through November 30th…and will begin again on the 15th of this month. Here’s the 2013 hurricane season summary

Eastern Pacific Satellite Image

Central North Pacific

The Central Pacific hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th…and will begin again June 1st. Here’s the 2013 hurricane season summary

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area