Pacific Disaster Center Fostering Disaster Resilient Communities  

Providing Weather and Hazard Related News

Weather Wall

 

 

Apr
25
2014

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

http://www.pdc.org/weather/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Timor-Sea1-1024x687.jpg

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation with an area of disturbed weather

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation with an area of disturbed weather

There continues to be an area of disturbed weather (being referred to as 91S) located approximately 180 NM northeast of Gove airport, Australia.

Satellite imagery shows flaring deep convection associated with a disorganized low level circulation center.

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), microwave imagery shows weak, fragmented deep convective banding over the eastern periphery…broadly wrapping around the center.

Upper level analysis reveals that the system remains in a favorable environment with low wind shear and fair outflow.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated to be 10-15 knots (12-17 mph).

The JTWC is giving the potential for development into a significant tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours…a low chance – down from medium yesterday.

Here’s a satellite image of this area…along with a looping radar image from Gove

Here’s the Tropical Cyclone Outlook for this area…from the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology:

Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the
Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Friday 25 April 2014 for the period until
midnight CST Monday 28 April 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

A weak Tropical Low, 1006 hPa, is located about 180 kilometres
northwest of Nhulunbuy. The low is expected to remain weak and
slow moving over the next 24 hours before moving west northwest
from Sunday.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation with an area of disturbed weather

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation with an area of disturbed weather

Meanwhile, there is a second tropical disturbance in the northwestern Pacific (being referred to as 99W)…located approximately 454 NM east of Yap.

Satellite imagery shows a disorganized area of deep convection associated with an ill-defined low level circulation center.

Upper level analysis indicates the disturbance is located in a favorable environment, with low vertical wind shear and good outflow.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated to be 10-15 knots (12-17 mph)

The JTWC is giving the potential for development into a significant tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours…a low chance – the same rating it had yesterday.

Here’s a satellite image of this area

 

Eastern North Pacific

The Eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th through November 30th…and has now ended. Here’s the 2013 hurricane season summary

Eastern Pacific Satellite Image

Central North Pacific

The Central Pacific hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th…and has now ended. Here’s the 2013 hurricane season summary

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area