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Sep
27
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea…or the Atlantic Ocean

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, and a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean...circled in yellow

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, and a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean…circled in yellow

As noted above, there are no active tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean, or the Atlantic Ocean. However, there is an area under investigation (a tropical disturbance), being carried by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida. This area circled in yellow above, is located about 900 miles east of the Leeward Islands.

Strong upper level winds are the primary limiting factor, as this disturbance continue to move northwest and then north over the next several days. There is no threat to the Leeward Islands, or the Caribbean Islands at this time…nor is any expected during the next 5-days.

Here is a satellite image showing this tropical disturbance…on the right side of the picture

 

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. 
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH.  AFTER THAT
TIME...CONDITIONS MAY BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico