Pacific Disaster Center Fostering Disaster Resilient Communities  

Providing Weather and Hazard Related News

Weather Wall

 

 

Aug
29
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Ocean

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami is pointing out two areas disturbed weather in their morning discussions. The disturbance in the Florida Straits the last few days…is now gone. The first of the yellow circles above, the one most westerly in direction (central Atlantic), came off the African coast this past weekend, and continues to move westward at about 15 mph. The NHC is giving this area a low 10% chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next 48 hours…increasing to 20% over the next 5-days. There’s a chance that this area could bring heavy rains and gusty winds to the Lesser Antilles Islands later this weekend or early next week.

The second yellow circled area, is just now trying to move out over Atlantic waters from Africa. We may see this weak system move over the Cape Verde Islands with time. The NHC is giving a medium 30% chance of developing as well…increasing to a medium 40% chance over the next 5-days.

This NOAA looping satellite image shows both of these areas

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER WESTERN AFRICA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH...AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM AFTER THE WAVE
MOVES OFF THE COAST ON FRIDAY. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE BEFORE THE ENVIRONMENT BECOMES UNFAVORABLE BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1000
MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES REMAINS LIMITED. DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE
THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH AND APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES. AFTER THAT TIME...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD INHIBIT FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico