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Aug
23
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation...and a tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing in the Gulf of Mexico

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation…and a tropical disturbance with a low chance of developing in the Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones, although the image above shows a tropical disturbance, circled in yellow, which the NHC is giving a low 10% chance of developing over the next 48 hours. This small disturbance is causing an area of heavy cumulonimbus…or thunderstorms. This area is more or less just to the south of the Alabama coast, and is moving west slowly. There are several environmental factors, including wind shear above, dry air, and relatively high pressures, that are limiting this system from developing at the moment.

Meanwhile, in the Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean, weather models continue to suggest no active tropical cyclones developing over the next week.

Here’s a WSI satellite image of this tropical disturbance, along with the latest NOAA satellite picture of the Gulf…and a looping image showing this disturbance as well.

 

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Atlantic Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

 

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED
WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico