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Aug
15
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indians Oceans…or adjacent Seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation with 2 tropical disturbances (circled in yellow), and a third with a high chance of developing in the Central Pacific Ocean

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation with 2 tropical disturbances (circled in yellow), and a third with a high chance of developing (circled in red) in the Central Pacific Ocean

There continues to be tropical disturbances in the central Pacific this morning…one of which now has a high 80% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The official outlooks from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu (CPHC) are located further down this page.

The tropics here in the central north Pacific remain quite active, with three areas of westward moving thunderstorms at the time of this writing. The disturbance that has the best chance of developing is located about 675 miles south of Kauai, and has shown increased signs of organization over the past 6-12 hours. Here’s a satellite image showing all of these areas.

Meanwhile, yesterdays typhoon Utor has dissipated after making impact along the southeast China coast…about 150 miles southwest of Hong Kong. Utor was a category 1 typhoon at that time, with 90 mph winds. This now retired tropical cyclone is being blamed for 1 death in China, along with the sinking of a 21 person cargo ship off the coast of China. In the Philippines, where Utor hit as a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds on Monday, 8 deaths are being blamed on the storm…and damage is estimated at $20 million.


Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS 

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Eastern Pacific Satellite Image

Central North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU, HAWAII

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

There are no current tropical cyclones

1. An area of low pressure centered about 650 miles south of Kauai is moving west near 20 mph. This system continues to show signs of improved organization, and a tropical depression may be developing, as strong thunderstorms are increasing near the center. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for further development, and this system has a high chance, 80 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

2. An elongated trough of low pressure about 1150 miles southwest of Kauai is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Further development, if any, will be slow to occur, as this trough moves west at about 15 mph. There is a low chance, 20 percent, that this system will develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.

3. A surface trough about 675 miles southeast of Hilo Hawaii is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves west at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions are not conducive for further development, and this system has a low chance, near 0 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 48 hours.

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area