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Jul
15
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, with a tropical disturbance (circled in red) in the Philippine Sea

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, with a tropical disturbance (circled in red) in the Philippine Se

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), there’s an area of disturbed weather in the Philippine Sea, located approximately 330 NM east of Manila. Sustained winds in this tropical disturbance are estimated to be blowing in the 18-23 knot (21-27 mph) range. This disturbance (referred to as 93W) is moving westward towards the Philippines at 09 knots (11 mph). Despite the light to moderately strong vertical wind shear over this system, the JTWC notes a steadily improving organization during the past 12 hours. Here’s a JTWC satellite image of this area.

Sea surface temperatures under this disturbance are very favorable, showing 29-30 degrees celsius (84-86F). Several computer weather models and tropical cyclone genesis products forecast development of a weak circulation over the next 24 hours, as winds continue to wrap around the low level circulation center. Given the available tropical cyclone genesis aids, and observed consolidation of the low level circulation center, the JTWC is giving this area a high chance of developing into a significant TC within the next 24 hours.

~~~Meanwhile, former Typhoon Soulik still maintained an eye just before making landfall in southeastern China on July 13…as shown in this NASA satellite image.  According to the South China Morning Post, Soulik’s flooding and landslides left at least 300 people missing or dead. The southwestern province of Sichuan reported 68 deaths and 179 people missing. Two people died in the Guangdong province, while other parts of China reported 41 deaths and two missing.

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Eastern Pacific Satellite Image

Central North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU, HAWAII

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

There are no current tropical cyclones

No tropical cyclones are expected through Wednesday morning

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area