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Jul
12
2013

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical cyclone 07W (Soulik) remains active over the northwestern Pacific…located approximately 148 NM east-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan (Weakening typhoon…sustained winds of 85 knots, with gusts to near 105 knots)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, JTWC forecast positions, segments, error cones and typhoon Soulik in the northwestern Pacific

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, JTWC forecast positions, segments, error cones and typhoon Soulik in the northwestern Pacific

Taiwan

Typhoon Soulik (07W) remains active over the northwestern Pacific, and continues to be a very dangerous tropical cyclone..as it approaches Taiwan. This JTWC satellite picture shows Soulik to the east of Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds were somewhat lighter than this same time yesterday, at 85 knots (98 mph)…while moving to the west-northwest at near 12 knots (14 mph).

Here’s a NASA satellite image of Typhoon Soulik, which is expected to make landfall tonight over the northeastern coast of Taiwan, and then move across the Taiwan Strait, before striking the southeast coast of mainland China this weekend.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center noted that Soulik remains organized, having large bands of thunderstorms wrapping around the southern semi-circle of this very dynamic typhoon…and into the center from there. The JTWC also indicates that the track for this typhoon has shifted slightly to the south, which brings more of this tropical system’s body over Taiwan, which is not good news. On the current patch, Soulik’s center will cross the upper third of the island, south of Taipei. This in turn puts this major city in the cross hairs of the most intense part of this typhoon.

According to China’s National Meteorological Center (NMC), Typhoon Soulik…after passing over Taiwan will across the waters of the Taiwan Strait, then move into the coastal areas of Zhejiang and Fujian Provinces during the evening of July 13th.

Open ocean mariners and coastal boaters as well, should continue to give this dynamic typhoon a wide berth, and find safe harbor immediately. Meanwhile, most of Taiwan should expect very heavy weather, along with exceptionally high surf and storm surge along the east and northeast facing coasts, wrapping around to other parts of that island as well. Taiwan should be battening down the hatches, as the saying goes…as all manner of inclement, and very dangerous weather conditions are approaching on the eastern horizon!

 

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Eastern Pacific Satellite Image

Central North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU, HAWAII

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

There are no current tropical cyclones

No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday morning

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 07W (Soulik)

JTWC textual forecast warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA – satellite image
Pacific Disaster Center’s Global Hazards Atlas

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area