There are no active tropical cyclones in the Pacific or Indian Oceans…or adjacent seas

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, with a tropical disturbance in the Coral Sea...that has a high chance of developing within 24 hours

The area circled in red above, now has a high chance of developing, as stated by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). This area is located approximately 515 NM east-northeast of Cairns, Australia. Here’s the looping radar image from Cairns, showing showers well offshore. Satellite imagery shows increasing organization of the low level circulation…as shallow convective banding is beginning to wrap around the circulation center. Upper air analysis is showing low vertical wind shear above, of only 5-10 knots.

Sea surface temperatures remain favorable for development, ranging between 29-30 degrees Celsius (85-86F). Winds in the area are blowing between 25-30 knots (29-35 mph). Based on the overall improving organization of this tropical system, the potential for development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours…has been upgraded to a high status.

The Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology (BAM) is stating that this low pressure system is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours. This deepening tropical low, over the northern Coral Sea, is moving slowly to the west, and is expected to deepen further as it tracks west towards the far north Queensland coast.

Strong gales may develop along coastal areas between Cooktown and Cape Melville Wednesday morning, and extend further north to Thursday Island later on Wednesday. Areas of heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, are expected to develop across parts of far northern Queensland late Tuesday into Wednesday…as the tropical low approaches the coast.