PDC Weather Wall

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Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans

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Tropical cyclone Evan (04P) remains active in the Southwest Pacific Ocean…located approximately 195 NM south of Nadi, Fiji (Weakening tropical cyclone…sustained winds of 95 knots, with gusts to near 115 knots)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, tropical cyclone Evan (04P), with JTWC positions, segments, error cones, winds...south of Fiji in the Southwest Pacific Ocean

Tropical cyclone Evan (04P) continues moving southward away from the Fijian islands, over the open ocean towards New Zealand. This still strong (category 2 tropical cyclone) has definitely peaked in strength. The JTWC shows it moving over cooler sea surface temperatures from here on out, finally dropping down below the cyclone level, back to a tropical storm…over the next 24-36 hours or so.

Evan has left a trail of destruction in its wake, most recently as it plowed through the Pacific nation of Fiji. It spent the better part of 12 hours battering the area, destroying homes, flooding rivers, and stranding 1000′s of tourists. The Information Ministry there, said bridges were submerged by swollen rivers, high winds toppled power lines, and roads were closed by landslides and debris. The one good thing…was that there were no reported fatalities.

As Evan heads southward, in the general direction of New Zealand, it will continue to weaken. Despite the fact that it’s heading towards Auckland, it will very likely dissipate into a remnant low pressure system over the ocean, to the north of that area…before arriving. The JTWC forecast calls for what’s left of Evan to have only 30 knot sustained winds, while still well away from Auckland. Whatever’s left of Evan’s precipitation could be another story however, perhaps bringing heavy rains to the northern island of New Zealand around the 22-23rd of December.