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Dec
11
2012

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific / Indian Oceans


Tropical cyclone Claudia (03S)remains active in the South

Indian Ocean…located approximately 775 NM south of Diego Garcia (Weakening typhoon…65 knot sustained winds – gusts to near 80 knots)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, typhoon Claudia (03S), with JTWC positions, segments, winds and error cones...over the South Indian Ocean

Typhoon Claudia (03S) remains active over the South Indian Ocean, well to the south of the small island of Diego Garcia. It will track south a little further, and then take a turn to the southeast. As this happens, it will move over cooler sea surface temperatures, as it tracks into high latitudes. This in turn will cause a gradual weakening of this typhoon, dropping down into the tropical storm category once again…later today. There are no islands in the path of Claudia…and Australia remains far to the east.

 

PDC Global Hazard Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, and an area of disturbed weather that the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) is giving a high chance of developing over the next 24 hours)

This area of disturbed weather (between America Samoa and Fiji…in the south Pacific Ocean) is rapidly consolidating, with a low level circulation and deep thunderstorms. There is banding of clouds wrapping into the center of this area of low pressure. It’s in an area of very favorable environment conditions for further development. Sea surface temperatures in this area are all the way up to 84-86F degrees, along with low vertical wind shear of only 5-10 knots above this tropical disturbance. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated to be 27-32 knots (31-37 mph). The JTWC is giving this area a high chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within 12-24 hours.

Eastern North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

There are no current tropical cyclones

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Central North Pacific

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU, HAWAII

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

There are no current tropical cyclones

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

CPHC Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Claudia (03S)

JTWC forecast advisory
JTWC graphical track map
NRL satellite image
Pacific Disaster Center’s Global Hazards Atlas

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area