PDC Weather Wall

Resources

«

»

Oct
12
2012

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Storm Patty (16L) is now active in the Atlantic Ocean…located approximately 275 miles east-northeast of central Bahamas (weakening tropical storm….sustained winds of 35 mph).

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying NHC forecast positions, segments, winds and error cones for tropical storm Patty (16L) in the Atlantic.

 Tropical Storm Patty (16L) is active in the Atlantic.

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, with NHC forecast positions, segments, winds and error cones for tropical storm Patty (16L) in the Atlantic. The area circled in red has a high 80% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.

 Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

Atlantic Ocean

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

Tropical Storm 16L 

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map 
NOAA satellite image 
Pacific Disaster Center’s

Global Hazards Atlas   

ELSEWHERE….A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 100 MILES WEST OF DOMINICA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WELL EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN RAINBANDS…HOWEVER SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS STILL SUGGEST THAT THE LOW LACKS A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT…AND IT IS LIKELY THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM WILL FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. IF THIS OCCURS…A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WOULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE…80 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL BE INVESTIGATING THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE AND HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE..

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

zp8497586rq