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Oct
11
2012

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Depression 16L is now active in the Atlantic Ocean…located approximately 143 miles east-northeast of central Bahamas (weakening tropical depression….sustained winds of 35 mph).

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying NHC forecast positions, segments, winds and error cones for tropical depression 16L in the Atlantic.

 Tropical Depression 16L is active in the Atlantic. It will likely dissipate by the upcoming weekend.

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, with an area circled in orange that has a medium 50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.

 

 Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

Atlantic Ocean

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

Tropical Depression 16L 

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map 
NOAA satellite image 
Pacific Disaster Center’s Global Hazards Atlas   

ELSEWHERE….A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.  SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION…AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…50 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map