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Oct
10
2012

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico. 

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas displaying 3 hour precipitation accumulation, with an area circled in yellow that has a low 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours. The area circled in orange has a medium 30% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.

 Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

Atlantic Ocean

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED THIS AFTERNOON. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGIANALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE LOW MERGES WITH A FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…10 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES LITTLE..

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map