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Oct
21
2011

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea, and the Atlantic Ocean with TRMM 3-hour precipitation accumulations.

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 PM EDT Friday October 21 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

 AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS CENTERED ABOUT 170 MILES EAST OF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED…AND THERE IS A LIKELIHOOD THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL FORM DURING THE WEEKEND. LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED IN THE SHORT TERM…BUT A SLOW NORTHWARD DRIFT SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE…60 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TRINIDAD IN THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT HAS INCREASED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…20 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…CLOUDINESS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER NORTHERN VENEZUELA AND THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map - Showing the two areas of disturbed weather discussed above.

Atlantic Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic

Caribbean Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones

NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea

Gulf of Mexico

There are no active tropical cyclones

Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico